Here’s my prediction for how it’s going to work out today (Update: Made a last minute change, switching Huck and Romney):
- Huck - 29%
- Romney - 26%
- Paul - 19%
- McCain - 11%
- Thompson - 8%
- Giuliani - 5%
- Hunter - 1%
Thompson drops from the race after Iowa (or not?), primarily benefiting Romney in upcoming states. Paul demonstrates himself a serious contender, Fox News is embarrassed about excluding him from Sunday’s forum (how much pressure will they be under to add him once Thompson drops out?!), and things get really interesting from here. Huck does miserably in NH after this, and he and Giuliani begin to lose their national lead. By Super Tuesday, this thing comes down to Romney, McCain and Paul, and McCain will be the first of these three to fall by the wayside.
Some of that’s sane, and some of that is crazy, I know. I’m sticking with it for now.
2 responses so far ↓
1 Jon // Jan 3, 2008 at 9:48 am
I’ll say
- Huck - 28%
- Romney - 25%
- Thompson - 15%
- McCain - 14%
- Paul - 10%
- Giuliani - 7%
- Hunter - 1%
2 Travis Prinzi // Jan 3, 2008 at 9:50 am
Yours are probably more realistic than mine. I admit a certain hopeful bias both that Huck starts a downward trend and that Paul far exceeds expectations.
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